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Tesla Inc (TSLA)

Automobiles
Consumo Discrecional
cíclico

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, body shop and parts, supercharging, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. This segment also provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty; and various financing options to its residential customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Precio Actual

$445.01
+2.11% vs día anterior

Capitalización

1.4T

Desviación

+251.48%

Y/Y Growth

13.5%

EBIT Margin

7.8%

ROIC

12%

PEG Ratio

4.57

ROE

16.1%

3Y EPS Growth

20.8%

Net Debt / EBITDA

-2.2x
Esta empresa tiene una posición de caja neta (más efectivo que deuda).

Proyecciones CAGR

Proyecciones de tasa de crecimiento anual compuesta basadas en diferentes modelos de valoración. CAGR EV/FCF es la métrica principal.

CAGR EV/FCF
-2.2%
CAGR EV/FCF (2026):
-71.5%
CAGR Prom.:
-3.4%
CAGR P/E:
-3.7%
CAGR EV/EBITDA: -5.5%
CAGR EV/EBIT: -2.3%
Precio de compra para +15%:
$202.17

Múltiplos de Valoración

Múltiplos de valoración utilizados para las estimaciones de CAGR y precios objetivo.

P/E
95x
(Fair: 50x)
EV/FCF
95x
EV/EBITDA
46x
EV/EBIT
85x

Gráfico de Evolución del Precio

Precios Objetivo FCF

Precios futuros estimados de la acción basados en proyecciones de flujo de caja libre.

Calculadora de Sensibilidad

Compara el CAGR de tu valoración con el que resultaría al aplicar diferentes múltiplos (LTM y Fair P/E).

Mercado LTM P/E
298x
Fair P/E
50x
CAGR EV/FCF
Tu Múltiplo: 95x
-2.2%
22.9%
-14.0%
CAGR P/E
Tu Múltiplo: 95x
-3.7%
21.1%
-15.3%
Tu CAGR
CAGR con LTM
CAGR con Fair P/E

Notas

Rendimiento Histórico vs. Índices

Rendimiento anual (YTD) de la acción comparado con índices y materias primas de referencia.

Media vs. Bitcoin
-196.10%
Media vs. Gold
+89.08%
Media vs. Bono USA 7-10y
+100.18%
Media vs. Bono USA 1-3y
+99.32%
Media vs. Bono USA 20+y
+101.32%
Media vs. Dow Jones
+88.03%
Media vs. S&P 500
+85.80%
Media vs. NASDAQ 100
+79.87%
Media vs. MSCI World
+88.17%
Media vs. Russell 2000
+91.30%
Media vs. STOXX Europe 600
+94.31%
Rendimiento anual de cada inversión. La línea discontinua marca el 0% (punto de equilibrio).
Año
Rendimiento TSLA
Rendimiento Bitcoin
Rendimiento vs. Bitcoin
Rendimiento Gold
Rendimiento vs. Gold
Rendimiento Bono USA 7-10y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 7-10y
Rendimiento Bono USA 1-3y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 1-3y
Rendimiento Bono USA 20+y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 20+y
Rendimiento Dow Jones
Rendimiento vs. Dow Jones
Rendimiento S&P 500
Rendimiento vs. S&P 500
Rendimiento NASDAQ 100
Rendimiento vs. NASDAQ 100
Rendimiento MSCI World
Rendimiento vs. MSCI World
Rendimiento Russell 2000
Rendimiento vs. Russell 2000
Rendimiento STOXX Europe 600
Rendimiento vs. STOXX Europe 600
2026
YTD en Vivo
1.58%3.95%-2.36%4.06%-2.48%0.23%+1.36%-0.04%+1.62%1.03%+0.55%2.32%-0.73%1.57%+0.01%1.88%-0.29%1.62%-0.03%4.62%-3.04%2.27%-0.69%
2025
18.57%110.77%-92.20%26.96%-8.38%-3.73%+22.30%0.05%+18.52%-11.17%+29.74%12.80%+5.77%24.01%-5.44%30.78%-12.21%17.88%+0.69%10.80%+7.77%5.50%+13.07%
2024
62.56%153.66%-91.09%11.76%+50.81%-0.15%+62.71%0.98%+61.58%-2.54%+65.11%13.74%+48.82%24.73%+37.83%44.52%+18.04%21.92%+40.64%15.78%+46.78%11.67%+50.89%
2023
129.86%-65.23%+195.09%0.78%+129.08%-15.93%+145.79%-5.00%+134.86%-31.00%+160.87%-9.40%+139.26%-19.95%+149.81%-33.89%+163.75%-19.70%+149.56%-22.50%+152.36%-13.29%+143.15%
2022
-69.20%60.33%-129.53%-6.24%-62.96%-4.15%-65.05%-0.98%-68.22%-5.94%-63.26%20.23%-89.43%28.79%-97.99%23.20%-92.40%21.22%-90.42%15.39%-84.59%21.66%-90.86%
2021
44.81%301.93%-257.12%23.90%+20.90%8.33%+36.48%2.02%+42.79%15.12%+29.69%6.02%+38.79%15.29%+29.52%41.75%+3.06%12.94%+31.87%18.48%+26.32%-4.64%+49.45%
2020
720.15%88.85%+631.30%17.78%+702.38%5.55%+714.60%1.20%+718.96%10.91%+709.24%21.91%+698.24%28.34%+691.82%34.60%+685.55%25.23%+694.93%23.05%+697.10%23.42%+696.74%
2019
34.93%-71.79%+106.72%-3.12%+38.05%-0.97%+35.90%-0.24%+35.17%-3.17%+38.10%-6.03%+40.96%-7.01%+41.94%-5.30%+40.23%-11.16%+46.09%-13.00%+47.93%-13.42%+48.35%
2018
3.84%1,184.56%-1,180.72%11.93%-8.09%0.76%+3.07%-0.63%+4.47%6.03%-2.20%24.33%-20.49%18.42%-14.58%27.16%-23.32%19.45%-15.62%12.45%-8.61%7.16%-3.32%
2017
43.47%1,184.56%-1,141.09%11.93%+31.54%-1.15%+44.62%-0.02%+43.49%-1.91%+45.38%24.33%+19.14%18.42%+25.05%27.16%+16.31%19.45%+24.01%12.45%+31.02%7.16%+36.31%
Media99.06%295.16%-196.10%9.97%+89.08%-1.12%+100.18%-0.27%+99.32%-2.26%+101.32%11.03%+88.03%13.26%+85.80%19.18%+79.87%10.89%+88.17%7.75%+91.30%4.75%+94.31%

Historial de Valoración

Historial de cambios significativos en los factores de valoración y precios objetivo a lo largo del tiempo. Los valores resaltados indican un cambio respecto a la valoración anterior.

Fecha de Valoración
Y/Y Growth
EBIT Margin
Net Debt/EBITDA
P/E
EV/FCF
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
Objetivo 2025
Objetivo 2026
Objetivo 2027
Objetivo 2028
Objetivo 2029
12/17/202513.5%7.8%-2.2x95x(50x)95x46x85x$126.61$196.51$291.25$344.13$406.63
11/3/202514.2%7.9%-2.2x95x(37x)95x46x85x$126.61$197.70$303.85$362.05$431.40
9/24/202515.3%8.6%-2.2x95x(39x)95x46x85x$123.94$227.39$332.41$399.07$479.09

Análisis de Outperformance

Rendimiento histórico vs índices principales y métricas de consistencia

Outperformance Promedio vs Índices

Rendimiento promedio comparado con los principales índices del mercado

Outperformance
Underperformance

Evolución del Rendimiento Año a Año

Rendimiento histórico con marcadores de mejores y peores años

🏆Best Year
2020
+720.15%
📉Worst Year
2022
-69.20%

Consistencia de Rendimiento

Porcentaje de años con rendimientos positivos

90%
9 of 10 years positive
Consistent Outperformer
Consistency ScoreExcellent
0%50%70%100%

TSLA has demonstrated exceptional consistency with positive returns in 90% of years, qualifying as a Consistent Outperformer.