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Repsol SA (BME:REP)

Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels
Energía
cobertura inflación
cíclico

Repsol, S.A. operates as a multi-e energy company in Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Industrial, Customer, and Low-Carbon Generation segments. Its Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves, as well as develops low-carbon geological solutions. The company’s Industrial segment is involved in refining activities and petrochemicals business; the trading, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and fuels; and development of hydrogen, sustainable biofuels, and synthetic fuels. Its Customer segment involved in mobility; and sale of fuel products, electricity and gas, lubricants, and other specialties. The company’s Low-Carbon Generation segment engages in the low-emissions electricity generation and renewable sources. It also provides asphalt products; installs, operates, and manages service stations; provides maritime services; constructs and operates oil refineries; explores and produces hydrocarbons; offers human resource; distributes and supplies electricity; and develops new energy projects, solar, and wind projects, as well as produces and sells chemical products and lubricants. In addition, the company involved in fuel and special products sale, research, trading and transport, insurance and reinsurance, safety, and financing activities; development of production processes, storage, transport, use, consumption, and transformation of hydrogen; decarbonization activities; and promotion, design, construction, and operation of molecular recycling facilities. Further, the company produces synthetic oil cloths; and invests in liquefaction plant project. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. and changed its name to Repsol, S.A. in May 2012. Repsol, S.A. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Precio Actual

€21.22
+1.58% vs día anterior

Capitalización

32B

Desviación

+25.49%

Crec. Y/Y

0.1%

Margen EBIT

8.3%

ROIC

8%

PEG Ratio

0.25

ROE

11%

Crec. EPS 3A

31.6%

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.3x

Último Análisis

02/2026
Fecha en la que se realizó la última valoración profunda de esta acción.

Proyecciones CAGR

Proyecciones de tasa de crecimiento anual compuesta basadas en diferentes modelos de valoración. CAGR EV/FCF es la métrica principal.

CAGR EV/FCF
6.1%
CAGR EV/FCF 2026:
-20.3%
CAGR Prom.:
2.4%
CAGR P/E:
1.2%
CAGR EV/EBITDA: 1.4%
CAGR EV/EBIT: 0.8%
Precio de compra para +15%:
€13.89

Múltiplos de Valoración

Múltiplos de valoración utilizados para las estimaciones de CAGR y precios objetivo.

PER
8x
(Fair P/E: 72x)
EV/FCF
10x
CAGR EV/EBITDA
3x
CAGR EV/EBIT
5x

Gráfico de Evolución del Precio

Precios Objetivo FCF

Precios futuros estimados de la acción basados en proyecciones de flujo de caja libre.

Calculadora de Sensibilidad

Compara el CAGR de tu valoración con el que resultaría al aplicar diferentes múltiplos (LTM y Fair P/E).

Mercado LTM P/E
13x
Fair P/E
72x
CAGR EV/FCF
Tu Múltiplo: 10x
6.1%
11.8%
57.4%
CAGR P/E
Tu Múltiplo: 8x
1.2%
11.6%
57.1%
Tu CAGR
CAGR con LTM
CAGR con Fair P/E

Reverse DCF

Crec. Implícito del Mercado3.9%
Tu CAGR EV/FCF6.1%
3.9%6.1%
Margen de Seguridad: +2.2pp

Rentabilidad mínima que exiges a tu inversión. Refleja el coste de oportunidad y el riesgo.

Múltiplo EV/FCF al que se valorará la empresa al final del periodo de proyección.

Notas

Rendimiento Histórico vs. Índices

Rendimiento anual (YTD) de la acción comparado con índices y materias primas de referencia.

Media vs. Bitcoin
-287.17%
Media vs. Gold
-3.85%
Media vs. Bono USA 7-10y
+7.79%
Media vs. Bono USA 1-3y
+6.89%
Media vs. Bono USA 20+y
+9.00%
Media vs. Dow Jones
-4.37%
Media vs. S&P 500
-6.95%
Media vs. NASDAQ 100
-13.09%
Media vs. MSCI World
-4.60%
Media vs. Russell 2000
-1.81%
Media vs. STOXX Europe 600
+1.83%
statistics.year
Rendimiento BME:REP
Rendimiento Bitcoin
Rendimiento vs. Bitcoin
Rendimiento Gold
Rendimiento vs. Gold
Rendimiento Bono USA 7-10y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 7-10y
Rendimiento Bono USA 1-3y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 1-3y
Rendimiento Bono USA 20+y
Rendimiento vs. Bono USA 20+y
Rendimiento Dow Jones
Rendimiento vs. Dow Jones
Rendimiento S&P 500
Rendimiento vs. S&P 500
Rendimiento NASDAQ 100
Rendimiento vs. NASDAQ 100
Rendimiento MSCI World
Rendimiento vs. MSCI World
Rendimiento Russell 2000
Rendimiento vs. Russell 2000
Rendimiento STOXX Europe 600
Rendimiento vs. STOXX Europe 600
2026
YTD en Vivo
29.31%-10.01%+39.32%8.78%+20.53%-0.54%+29.85%-0.35%+29.66%-0.37%+29.68%1.75%+27.56%4.47%+24.84%6.89%+22.42%4.70%+24.61%11.11%+18.20%2.43%+26.88%
2025
34.32%110.77%-76.45%26.96%+7.36%-3.73%+38.05%0.05%+34.27%-11.17%+45.49%12.80%+21.51%24.01%+10.31%30.78%+3.54%17.88%+16.43%10.80%+23.52%5.50%+28.81%
2024
-13.79%153.66%-167.45%11.76%-25.55%-0.15%-13.65%0.98%-14.78%-2.54%-11.25%13.74%-27.53%24.73%-38.52%44.52%-58.31%21.92%-35.72%15.78%-29.57%11.67%-25.46%
2023
-11.45%-65.23%+53.77%0.78%-12.23%-15.93%+4.48%-5.00%-6.46%-31.00%+19.55%-9.40%-2.06%-19.95%+8.50%-33.89%+22.44%-19.70%+8.24%-22.50%+11.04%-13.29%+1.83%
2022
39.44%60.33%-20.90%-6.24%+45.67%-4.15%+43.59%-0.98%+40.42%-5.94%+45.37%20.23%+19.21%28.79%+10.64%23.20%+16.23%21.22%+18.21%15.39%+24.05%21.66%+17.77%
2021
28.73%301.93%-273.20%23.90%+4.83%8.33%+20.40%2.02%+26.71%15.12%+13.61%6.02%+22.71%15.29%+13.44%41.75%-13.02%12.94%+15.79%18.48%+10.25%-4.64%+33.37%
2020
-41.36%88.85%-130.22%17.78%-59.14%5.55%-46.92%1.20%-42.56%10.91%-52.28%21.91%-63.28%28.34%-69.70%34.60%-75.97%25.23%-66.59%23.05%-64.42%23.42%-64.78%
2019
-2.18%-71.79%+69.61%-3.12%+0.94%-0.97%-1.21%-0.24%-1.94%-3.17%+0.99%-6.03%+3.85%-7.01%+4.83%-5.30%+3.13%-11.16%+8.99%-13.00%+10.82%-13.42%+11.24%
2018
-6.07%1,184.56%-1,190.63%11.93%-18.00%0.76%-6.83%-0.63%-5.44%6.03%-12.11%24.33%-30.40%18.42%-24.49%27.16%-33.23%19.45%-25.53%12.45%-18.52%7.16%-13.23%
2017
9.02%1,184.56%-1,175.54%11.93%-2.91%-1.15%+10.17%-0.02%+9.04%-1.91%+10.93%24.33%-15.31%18.42%-9.40%27.16%-18.14%19.45%-10.44%12.45%-3.43%7.16%+1.86%
common.average6.60%293.76%-287.17%10.45%-3.85%-1.20%+7.79%-0.30%+6.89%-2.40%+9.00%10.97%-4.37%13.55%-6.95%19.69%-13.09%11.19%-4.60%8.40%-1.81%4.77%+1.83%
Rendimiento anual de cada inversión. La línea discontinua marca el benchmark. 0% (punto de equilibrio).

Historial de Valoración

Registro de los cambios en los parámetros de valoración a lo largo del tiempo.

Fecha de Valoración
Crec. Y/Y
Margen EBIT
Deuda/Pat.
PER
EV/FCF
CAGR EV/EBITDA
CAGR EV/EBIT
Objetivo 2026
Objetivo 2027
Objetivo 2028
Objetivo 2029
Objetivo 2030
4/10/20260.1%8.3%0.3x8x(72x)10x3x5x€16.91€30.74€25.28€26.58€27.94
2/28/20263.2%8%0.3x8x(58x)10x4x6x€22.59€20.25€19.88€22.52€25.50
9/24/20250.5%8.6%0.3x7x(10x)8x3x5x€20.94€20.69€19.83€22.09€24.62

Historial de Dividendos

Evolución de los dividendos por acción y métricas de crecimiento.

Yield Actual
461.83%
Crecimiento (5A)
322.9%
Años Consecutivos
4